Yello, ParadiseClub Members!😎 On-chain data shows that long term holders selling is huge in numbers. Is Bitcoin finally in the capitulation phase? Let’s find out:
💎Based on our exclusive on chain data, the Long Term Holder SOPR has now dropped below 1 and is sitting around 0.88. This means that long term holders selling is now at a loss. The annual average remains elevated near 1.87, which shows that the broader cycle is still structurally profitable, but this short term break below 1 marks the first serious stress signal since the end of the 2023 bear market.
💎Let us translate this into probabilities. Historically, when LTH SOPR breaks below 1 after holding above it for many months, the probability of extended corrective phases increases significantly. True bear market capitulation in past cycles was marked when the monthly SOPR approached 0.5. Right now, the monthly average still stands near 1.09. This tells us we are not in full scale capitulation yet, but we are seeing early stage long term holders selling. In ParadiseFamilyVIP, we are considering this and adjusting our trading strategies accordingly.
💎Here is what most crypto noobs get wrong. They believe long term holders always buy the dip aggressively. That is not what we are seeing. Dip buying activity from long term holders is now as weak as during the 2022 Terra Luna crash period. When veteran investors stop defending price, downside liquidity becomes more attractive for market makers and whales. The herd keeps buying emotionally, while the minority with capital and influence positions for volatility expansion.
💎From a Professional trading perspective, this increases the probability of further shakeouts before any sustainable upside continuation. It does not guarantee a crash, but it shifts the risk-reward balance. That is why risk management, money management, and emotional discipline become critical. PRO traders focus on capital protection first. Safe trading and systematic execution always outperform emotional reactions during uncertain phases like this.
💎MCP EXTRAS PRIVATE offers essential whale movement data at a fair price. It is not ParadiseFamilyVIP, but it gives you crucial insights that shape our trading decisions. It’s perfect if you are a trader with low capital to start full professional trading among elite ParadiseFamilyVIP members just yet.
Stay focused, patient, and disciplined Paradisers🥂
Want More Actionable and Exclusive Insights? 👉 GO PRIVATE🥂
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