Crypto Absorption Detector
Absorption is when heavy one-sided market orders keep hitting the market but price barely moves, because a larger resting player is quietly taking the other side. We measure it from public trades and log every episode as a dated, graded receipt. A read on order flow, not a forecast, and not financial advice.
Right now reading…
Reading the order flow…
One-sided flow intensity, versus this coin's own recent history
Connecting…
The episode ledger
Every absorption episode we detect, dated and graded. A HIT means price later rejected the absorbed aggressors by a full day's range; a MISS means the aggressors broke through; OPEN means the horizon has not closed yet. The oldest rows are reconstructed from history so the record starts full, not empty.
You are seeing the most recent episodes. PRO Paradisers see the full episode history for BTC and ETH, the 15m and 1h reads, and each episode's full detail. Become a PRO Paradiser
Volume climax
A climax is an extreme burst of volume that can mark the moment a forced move exhausts itself. The edge lives only in the far tail, so the gauge greys out everything below the 95th percentile: no edge there, extremes only.
Reading today's volume…
When volume reaches the tail, we show how often past climaxes on this side were local exhaustion rather than the start of a bigger move. Descriptive historical frequencies, not a forecast.
Why there is no single probability number here
Most tools would print a confident percentage on every absorption episode. We tested whether our episodes actually predict that the absorber wins, out of sample, before we would print a calibrated number. We reconstructed more than five years of BTC and ETH order flow, detected every episode by a rule fixed in advance, fit the odds on data the test never saw, and held out the most recent three months untouched.
The signal was real in the out-of-sample test: episodes near a range extreme with the heaviest one-sided flow resolved the absorber's way more often. But that edge shrank to about a third of its size in the untouched hold-out, below the bar we set before looking. So, by our own rule, this page does not print a calibrated Absorption Break probability. It shows the episode ledger, the current state and the descriptive historical frequencies, each labelled as descriptive. A competitor would show you a number. We show you the graded receipts and tell you plainly what we could and could not prove.
The terms on this page
Absorption
Heavy one-sided market orders keep hitting the market, but price barely moves, because a larger resting player is quietly filling the other side. The aggressors spend into a wall. When the wall holds, those aggressors are the ones later forced to give up.
One-sided flow into flat price
The measurable fingerprint of absorption: aggressive buying or selling runs at an extreme for this coin, while the price return over the same window sits near the bottom of its range. Big effort, little movement.
Volume climax
An extreme burst of volume, well into the top few percent of a coin's own history, often with a wide range and one-sided flow, that can mark the point where a forced move runs out of fuel. The edge lives in the tail only.
Absorption says a wall held. The other tools show who is behind it and what happens next.
The spot versus perp CVD read shows whether real cash or leverage was doing the aggressing, open interest shows how much leverage is built up, and the liquidation map shows where that leverage gets forced out. Read together, they tell you who is forced to act, and when.
Reading who is quietly absorbing pressure at a level, and who is trapped when the wall holds, is one of the oldest reads the ParadiseTeam works from. That reasoning is shared in full inside ParadiseFamilyVIP. Seats stay deliberately limited.
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The live read
The gauge at the top shows how one-sided the current flow is versus this coin's own history. Most of the time it is quiet. It only becomes an episode when heavy one-sided flow meets flat price on real volume at the same time.
The ledger
Every episode is logged with the side being absorbed, how intense it was, where it sat in the range, and whether price later rejected the aggressors. The badges are the receipts: we grade our own reads in public, hit or miss.
Spot versus perp
Each episode notes how much of the aggressive flow came from leveraged perpetual futures versus unlevered spot. Aggressors on leverage can be force-liquidated when the wall holds, which is what makes the trap sharper.
The climax panel
Separately, the climax gauge watches for extreme volume bursts. It deliberately greys out everything below the far tail, because that is the only place the exhaustion read has any history behind it.