Yello, ParadiseClub Members! 😎 Do you know that the Bitcoin premium has reached the value of 2.10x? Do you think a Bitcoin pullback is ahead? Let’s find out:
💎Based on our exclusive on-chain data, Bitcoin is trading at $111.1K while the realized price remains at $53K. It puts the Bitcoin premium at 2.10× above its historical base. This stretch is not casual because it’s the mark of a hot trend with serious consequences.
💎The 30-day realized volatility is sitting at 1.16 percent per day or 22 percent annualized. But the quiet can be deceiving. The volatility-adjusted Bitcoin premium currently stands at 64.31, strategically positioned between +1σ (61.54) and +2σ (74.46). This signals that we are inside a powerful trend. But the probability of tactical pullbacks is present if volatility picks up or momentum begins to weaken.
💎The current momentum (14–140) remains positive at +1.61, but if this begins to reverse toward zero, and we see a breakdown below the +1σ threshold, then we would be transitioning into a cooling phase. This is where disciplined traders start managing risk, while the amateurs start bleeding.
💎Whale activity is fading. Average order sizes are dropping, and the retail crowd is now steering the ship. This is classic behavior when professional traders take a step back and let the less experienced market players move the price. It means we are entering a quieter, retail-driven phase, which is often a sign of consolidation or trend exhaustion.
💎On centralized exchanges, the 7-day average trade volume is around $15.8B per day compared to just $1.7B on spot ETFs. This puts the CEX/ETF ratio at 9.2, with ETFs making up only about 10 percent of the total volume. While ETF inflows provide added liquidity and trend stability, they are still not the main force behind Bitcoin’s price movement. The action remains in the hands of serious traders on CEXs.
💎Price is currently trapped between the 0.85 and 0.94 quantile cost basis band ($104.1K to $114.1K). This range has historically been a post-euphoria consolidation zone. A decisive break below $104K would signal exhaustion and deeper cooling, while a clean reclaim above $114K would confirm renewed demand strength.
💎For a fair price, MCP EXTRAS PRIVATE shares key exclusive data that shape our trading and signals in ParadiseFamilyVIP. We ensure our moves remain hidden from whales and bots. That’s why we created more affordable and more available MCP EXTRAS PRIVATE Membership. Join us today!
Stay focused, patient, and disciplined Paradisers🥂
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