Yello, ParadiseClub Members!😎 The insider data is showing that the Bitcoin market outlook is neutral-bearish, but with a risk of retest. Let’s find out what’s more:
💎Based on our exclusive on-chain data, the Bitcoin market outlook sits in a neutral to bearish base. Price and derivative flows remain below 50, with taker flows still negative and weak. What looks like a potential recovery is, in reality, more likely just a mean-reversion bounce toward $113K. This aligns with the Fair Value and the mid-30-day range, not the start of a new uptrend.
💎This setup does not reflect any real risk appetite. For a real regime change to happen, we need to see Flow above 55 and Price Index above 50. Until then, we are in a high-risk zone, where repeated retests of lower boundaries remain a probable scenario. The only short-term bullish case would be a technical bounce toward $113K to $115K. But even that would require flow stabilization first.
💎On the monthly timeframe, BTC is currently hovering at $110.7K, holding just above the Short-Term Holder Realized Price at $107.6K, which is a critical monthly bull support. The overall Realized Price sits at $52.8K, while Long-Term Holder RP is $35.6K. This massive gap between market price and LTH realized price confirms the structural uptrend, and reinforces why we treat dips as consolidation, not trend breaks. So, the Bitcoin market outlook in a neutral-bearish zone aligns with this data.
💎Even though NUPL is at 0.53, suggesting a broad profit regime, it is still below the historical extremes seen in previous cycles. This means there is no final euphoria yet. The higher timeframes remain bullish but are in a repair phase. Profit-taking pressure is increasing, but as long as we hold the $107K zone, the uptrend continuation remains intact with no signs of a cycle top.
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Stay focused, patient, and disciplined Paradisers🥂
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