The Psychology of trading exaggerated divergences: How traders see differences that may not exist

The Psychology of trading exaggerated divergences: How traders see differences that may not exist

Share Post:

Exaggerated divergences are a term used to describe a situation where the price of an asset and its technical indicators diverge significantly. This can happen in both bullish and bearish markets, and can be caused by a variety of factors.

Types of Exaggerated Divergences


There are two main types of exaggerated divergences that can occur in crypto markets: bullish exaggerated divergences and bearish exaggerated divergences.

Typical exaggerated divergences

Bullish exaggerated divergences occur when the price of an asset continues to rise, but its technical indicators fail to confirm the upward trend. This can happen when investors become overly optimistic and continue to buy the asset, even as its technical indicators suggest that it is overbought and due for a correction.  Bullish exaggerated divergences can be a warning sign that a market correction is imminent, but they can also be a false signal.

In a bullish market, exaggerated divergences can occur when the price of an asset continues to rise, but its technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), fail to confirm the upward trend. This can happen when investors become overly optimistic and continue to buy the asset, even as its technical indicators suggest that it is overbought and due for a correction. 

Conversely, bearish exaggerated divergences occur when the price of an asset continues to fall, but its technical indicators fail to confirm the downward trend. This can happen when investors become overly pessimistic and continue to sell the asset, even as its technical indicators suggest that it is oversold and due for a rebound. Bearish exaggerated divergences can also be a warning sign that a market correction is imminent, but they can also be a false signal.

Exaggerated divergences can be a warning sign that a market correction is imminent. However, they can also be a false signal, and investors should be cautious when interpreting them.

Best Crypto Signals: How Market Manipulation Affects Trading Decisions

One factor that can cause exaggerated divergences is market manipulation. In some cases, large investors or groups of investors may artificially inflate or deflate the price of an asset in order to create the appearance of a divergence. This can be done by buying or selling large amounts of the asset in a short period of time, which can cause the price to move in a way that is not reflective of its true value.

Another factor that can cause exaggerated divergences is changes in market sentiment. This can happen when investors become overly optimistic or pessimistic about an asset, causing its price to diverge from its technical indicators. For example, in a bullish market, investors may become overly optimistic about an asset and continue to buy it, even as its technical indicators suggest that it is overbought. This can cause the price to rise even further, creating an exaggerated divergence.

Similarly, in a bearish market, investors may become overly pessimistic about an asset and continue to sell it, even as its technical indicators suggest that it is oversold. This can cause the price to fall even further, creating an exaggerated divergence.

Exaggerated divergences can also be caused by changes in market fundamentals. For example, a company may release positive or negative news that affects its stock price, causing it to diverge from its technical indicators. Similarly, changes in interest rates or economic indicators can affect the prices of assets such as currencies, commodities, and bonds, causing them to diverge from their technical indicators.

Crypto Trading Tips: Common Pitfalls to Avoid

To avoid falling prey to exaggerated divergences, investors should focus on the underlying fundamentals of the asset they are trading. This means paying attention to factors such as the general crypto market sentiments, its competitive position in the market, and its growth prospects.

Traders should also be aware of the risks associated with trading in volatile markets. This means setting stop-loss orders to limit losses, diversifying their portfolios to reduce risk, and avoiding the temptation to make impulsive trades based on short-term market movements.

In addition, investors should be cautious when interpreting technical indicators, as they can be subject to interpretation and can sometimes give false signals. It is important to use a variety of technical indicators, and to combine them with fundamental analysis and market research to get a more complete picture of the asset being traded.

Trading exaggerated divergences can be a challenging task, as they can be difficult to interpret and can sometimes give false signals. However, there are a few strategies that traders can use to trade exaggerated divergences:

1. Wait for confirmation: One strategy is to wait for confirmation before making a trade. This means waiting for the price of the asset to confirm the direction of the divergence. For example, if there is a bullish exaggerated divergence, a trader may wait for the price of the asset to break above a key resistance level before making a buy trade. Similarly, if there is a bearish exaggerated divergence, a trader may wait for the price of the asset to break below a key support level before making a sell trade.

2. Use multiple indicators: Another strategy is to use multiple indicators to confirm the divergence. This means using a combination of technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), or Stochastic Oscillator, to confirm the direction of the divergence. By using multiple indicators, traders can reduce the risk of false signals and increase the accuracy of their trades.

3. Combine with fundamental analysis: Traders can also combine technical analysis with fundamental analysis to get a more complete picture of the asset they are trading. This means analyzing the underlying fundamentals of the asset, such as its financial health, competitive position in the market, and growth prospects, to confirm the direction of the divergence. By combining technical and fundamental analysis, traders can reduce the risk of false signals and increase their chances of success.

4. Use stop-loss orders: Finally, traders can use stop-loss orders to limit their losses in case the trade goes against them. This means setting a stop-loss order at a predetermined level below the entry price for buy trades, or above the entry price for sell trades. By using stop-loss orders, traders can limit their risk and protect their capital in case the trade does not go as planned.

Trading exaggerated divergences can be a challenging task, but traders can use a combination of strategies, such as waiting for confirmation, using multiple indicators, combining with fundamental analysis, and using stop-loss orders, to increase their chances of success. It is important for traders to be cautious and to focus on the underlying fundamentals of the asset they are trading, in order to reduce the risk of false signals and increase their chances of success.

In conclusion, exaggerated divergences can be a warning sign that a market correction is imminent, but they can also be a false signal. Investors should be cautious when interpreting them, and should focus on the underlying fundamentals of the asset they are trading. By doing so, investors can reduce their risk and increase their chances of success in volatile markets.

Subscribe
Notify of
guest

0 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments

Recent Articles

Follow Us

Trade Crypto Like a PRO

Decrease the risk of losing everything you have.

A team of 4 professional traders is sharing their personal daily trade setups with you.

Imagine finally having the right strategy, insights and knowledge to profit from the volatile crypto market movements consistently.

Safe Time, and Start Trading Like a PRO Today
Dark Mode